The Problem with the Copenhagen Conference (COP15)
Well here we are again, sitting back and watching the world's governments hammer out a "deal" at yet another climate change conference.
Yet whilst this is going on, we still have significant numbers of politicians in all the big polluting states who either don't understand the science or simply wish to ignore it or worse still lie about it, sadly this includes some members of the modern conservative party.
Yesterday at Copenhagen, the talks broke down because the more economically developed countries didn't want to give up as much as they really have to in order to save the planet, and thankfully the poorer nations of the world didn't let them get away with it again. After a long night of negotiations the talks re-started today, but inevitably with far smaller concessions than are needed.
As a Geology student with an interest in the environment, it sickens me to see so many powerful people simply ignore the imperative presented by the Science, and thanks to the so-called "Climate-Gate" they have another excuse to do nothing.
Climate-gate was a farce of the highest order, with many of the self proclaimed sceptics quote mining from stolen email correspondence to try and bolster their all but destroyed ivory tower, and it very nearly worked - even convincing the COP15 negotiators from Saudi Arabia - however the scientific and blogging community acted quickly enough in pointing out the errors in the argument and it only caused a ripple in the conference, rather than a tsunami.
just to go through one example really quickly, the "hide the decline" comment that was taken by many (and forced by some) to mean a decline in temperature was not a drop in temperature, it was a drop in the proxy record for tree rings, which the scientists acknowledge that they do not understand, because it is anomalous to all other proxies (coral reefs, ice cores, geological varves etc.) AND the observed temperature record.
In the wake of this farce, all the major scientific establishments including the IPCC, the Met Office and my own native National Oceanography Centre, Southampton have reaffirmed their support of the Anthropogenic Global Warming model.
Does this mean that the debate is over? Well; in purely scientific circles it was over years ago, politically however it is raging as fiercely as ever (which is beyond me to explain). Does it mean that we will get a legally binding, effective, Carbon reducing Treaty out of Copenhagen that actually will help to save the planet?
I fear almost certainly not.
Ben Brooks